Gold prices in India today held steady to Rs 1,24,530, after the festive season. On Tuesday, Gold prices slid the most in 12 years after a weeks-long furious rally. A confluence of factors dragged down the precious metal including positive trade talks between China and the US, a stronger dollar, overstretched technicals, and uncertainty on investor positioning due to the government shutdown, were factors cited for the price drop on the global scale.
While in India, the end of the seasonal buying spree stands as the major reason for the dip. Gold prices rose globally on Thursday, following a two-day slump, as geopolitical uncertainties emerged following the US sanctions on Russian oil companies. On India’s Multi Commodity Exchange, gold futures for December delivery rose 2% to trade at Rs 124,250 per 10 gram.
JP Morgan expects the bull run to stay intact with the price to reach an average $5,055 per ounce by the end of the fourth quarter of 2026.
The forecast is based on the back of rising investors demand and central bank buying that is expected to average at nearly 566 tons of the metal in a quarter of 2026. “Gold remains our highest conviction long for the year, and we see further upside as the market enters a Fed rate-cutting cycle,” Natasha Kaneva, Head of Global Commodities Strategy at JP Morgan, said in a note accessed by Reuters.
According to another analyst Gregory Shearer, Head of Base and Precious Metals Strategy, JP Morgan, the combination of US Federal Reserve cutting the cycle “with overlays of stagflation anxiety”, concerns surrounding Fed independence and the broader debasement hedging is helping the golds upward move.
