
USA: the breakthrough in Congress gives the Swiss economy some breathing space
Keystone-SDA
A Democratic victory in the US midterm elections could help ease trade tensions with Switzerland, reducing the likelihood of further tariff increases for Swiss exporters.
With a majority in both houses of Congress, the Democrats can block President Donald Trump’s legislative agenda and exert greater pressure on his trade policy. According to Swiss private bank J. Safra Sarasin, this could pave the way for a relaxation of tariffs, particularly for allied countries.
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Explainer: How the new US tariffs are already impacting the Swiss economy
However, any expectation that the existing tariffs will be lifted quickly would be misplaced. Trump retains his veto power and could still act through executive orders in a range of areas. As a result, the Swiss economy is likely to face uncertainty over trade policy for some time to come.
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The change in control on Capitol Hill could also have implications for financial markets. Congress plays a key role in public spending, which in turn can influence yields on US government bonds. However, independent Swiss banking group Lombard Odier says it remains unclear how the new political balance of power might affect the dollar. Any weakening of the greenback would present a further challenge for Swiss exporters, while making travel and shopping in the US cheaper for people from Switzerland.
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How Trump is manoeuvring Switzerland closer to the EU
Trump, meanwhile, has said he will accept the election result. In the run-up to the vote, there was widespread speculation that he might challenge a Republican defeat, a scenario that could have triggered a prolonged period of political uncertainty with significant consequences for the markets. However, comments he made to the New York Times appear to have eased those concerns.
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Translated from Italian, reviewed by an English Department journalist.


